The NBA All-Star 2023 match is fast approaching and with it comes the chance to place some bets on the outcome of the match. While some may argue that betting on the All-Star Game is too unpredictable for value, others see the randomness of the game as an opportunity to find value in the odds.
Team Giannis (+118) Over Team LeBron
The Randomness Of The All-star Game Works In Your Favor
The All-Star Game showcases the NBA's best players, which is meant to be enjoyed by all. There's no real strategy or coaching, and only so much effort is put into the game until the final minutes. As such, it should be treated as a coin flip, with both teams having an equal chance of winning. If you think it's one, you get an extra 18 coins to get Team Giannis. Value is too good to pass. Rarely does such a clear line contradict common sense.
Expect Most Of The Money To Come In On The Over
We had three All-Star Games played with the new Elam Ending format. The total score for those games is 312, 320 and 323 points. Technically, all three went below that total. Of course, the last two games are almost over, but we should also take into account public betting behavior. We can expect most of the money here to come from multiple times just because the All-Star Games are famous for their high scores. From that point of view you can get some value from Underscore.
Ja Morant (+1200) for All-Star MVP
Knowing the roster is essential to knowing who will be the best value pick for the All-Star MVP. However, we can work based on a few rules of thumb. The only big man to win an MVP in the past decade is Anthony Davis, who scored a 52-point All-Star record in the process. We can exclude the big players and pick a starter capable of making some highlights in the game.
Ja Morant is a strong MVP candidate.
That points us to Ja Morant at +1200. He was named as a replacement starter for Stephen Curry. He will have a lot of balls, and he will try to throw down a few outstanding pitches. This is only his second All-Star game, so the experience is still relatively new for him and he tends to take things more seriously. If you were going to bet on the All-Star MVP, he would be our pick.
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